Hurricane Dorian strengthened into a Category 4 storm on Friday night with 145 mph winds, but the Saturday morning forecast shows Florida may be spared a direct hit.
☘ For those in its path see links for different Resources, Tools and Tips Below ☘
The projected path by the National Hurricane Center as of its 8 a.m. forecast showed the storm strafing the northern Bahamas Sunday and Monday, but then taking a sharp right so the center of the storm doesn’t make Florida landfall.
“We’re seeing some better news for Florida in regard to the longer term forecast for Dorian,” said WOFL-Fox 35 meteorologist Jayme King. “Not only has the NHC official track shifted the storm more East on approach to Florida but, the latest modeling is showing a big swing East and this may be reflected in the 11 a.m. NHC update, we’re certainly keeping our fingers crossed for this."
The state’s east coast from Fort Lauderdale up to Cape Canaveral and inland to Orlando are still within the three-day cone of uncertainty, though. The five-day projection includes even more of the state, but the consensus path now has the storm headed for landfall near the South Carolina and Georgia border.
Florida Gov. DeSantis, though, cautioned that the storm paths will continue to change and that Florida residents need to be wary.
“There is still significant chance of a strike on the state of Florida,” DeSantis said during a briefing at the Emergency Operations Center this morning. “Anyone inside of that cone needs to be prepared.”
The path has shifted several times since Thursday with projected landfalls suggesting it would slam into Florida as far south as West Palm Beach and as far north as Flagler Beach. Its path all day Friday had it targeting Orlando, but the various computer models kept shifting the path farther east.
As of 8 a.m., Hurricane Dorian grew back to 145 mph winds as a strong Category 4 hurricane after dialing back to 140 mph overnight. It looks to hit the Bahamas by 2 p.m. Sunday. The storm is located 280 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas and 445 miles east of West Palm Beach and headed west at 12 mph. A hurricane warning remains in effect for much of the northwestern Bahamas.
The hurricane center said a hurricane watch may be issued for parts of Florida later today.
“We’re not out of the woods by any stretch, this needs to be watched and all Central Floridians need to be on guard until the storm rides north of our location,” said Fox 35′s King.
Hurricane-force winds extend out 30 miles from the storm’s center with tropical storm-force winds extending out 105 miles. The current forecast has the center of the storm parked off Florida’s coast still as a Category 4 hurricane with 130 mph winds near Brevard County by Tuesday morning. It is then projected to head more north skirting Florida’s coast and diminish speed, but still a dangerous Category 3 level hurricane with 125 mph winds by Wednesday morning near St. Augustine.
The state will begin to feel tropical storm-force winds, though, as early as midday Sunday with Orlando projected to feel those winds by Sunday night.
“Life-threatening storm surge and devastating hurricane-force winds are still possible along portions of the Florida east coast by the early to middle part of next week, but since Dorian is forecast to slow down and turn northward near the coast, it is too soon to determine when or where the highest surge and winds will occur,” the NHC said.
Gov. DeSantis said the fuel situation has improved overnight, as gas trucks sped to resupply stations throughout the state. Many areas, including in South Florida and Central Florida, experienced long lines and shortages at some stations.
Brevard County is set to begin mandatory evacuations from its barrier islands on Sunday, DeSantis said, and other counties will have voluntary or partial evacuations, including Martin, Glades and Hendry counties. But as the forecast tracks shift, evacuation orders may chance, DeSantis said.
Orlando International Airport announced it will cease commercial flight operations on at 2 a.m. Monday. Passengers should check with individual airlines for flight information and schedules.
“Hurricane Dorian has strengthened and slowed. Our plan currently is to run full operations through Sunday,” said Phil Brown, CEO of the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority in a press release. “We don’t know exactly where Dorian is going but we do know that it will have a significant impact on the entire state of Florida. So in order to allow the airport’s 25,000 employees time to secure their homes and families we feel it is prudent to cease operations in a timely fashion.”
SunRail said it was suspending service all of next week.
DeSantis also warned of power outages and said utility companies were pre-positioning workers to restore electricity for customers after Dorian passes.
The Orlando Utilities Commission has tripled its resources, with help coming from Nebraska, Michigan and Missouri, said Jenise Osani, a spokeswoman for the utility.
Coastal areas in the Southeast could get 6 to 12 inches of rain, with 18 inches in some places, triggering life-threatening flash floods, the hurricane center said.
The Hurricane Center also began tracking a tropical wave off the coast of Africa that as of 2 a.m. Saturday had a 10 percent chance of tropical system formation in the next 48 hours, and 50 percent chance in the next five days. If it forms, it will be the seventh tropical depression of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. If it grows into a named storm, it would become Tropical Storm Fernand. The hurricane center was also tracking a storm in the southern Gulf of Mexico given a 10 percent chance of tropical system formation in the next 48 hours, and 20 percent chance in the next five days.
Orlando Sentinel staff writers Gray Rohrer, Dave Harris, Austin Fuller, Marco Santana, Cristóbal Reyes, Mark Skoneki, Stephen Hudak, Ryan Gillespie, Roger Simmons and The Associated Press contributed to this story.
Here are Quick Links; Resources and Tools to hopefully Help You if you or someone you know may be affected by this storm:
☘ Track Hurricane Dorian directly from NOAA Here as it passes through ☘
☘ Interesting Article on Hurricane Names ☘
☘ Hurricane Wind Scale ☘
☘ Emergency Disaster - Plan - Prepare - Pass it on ☘
☘ Questions to ask a Senior Living Community or Nursing Home ☘
☘ Prepare an All Hazards Supply Kit ☘
☘ Hurricane Preparation for Manufactured and Mobile Homes ☘
☘ Prepare your Boat for a Hurricane ☘
☘ Generator Use and Safety Precautions ☘
☘ Heat Emergencies - what to do ☘
☘ Utility Tips During an Emergency or Event ☘
☘ Thunderstorm and Lightening Tips ☘
☘ Insurance before and after the storm ☘
☘ Emergency Shelter Tips and Information ☘
☘ Dealing with traumatic events ☘
☘ General Hurricane Hazards ☘
☘ Flood Hazards - what you should know ☘
☘ Well and Septic Systems after the storm ☘
☘ Roof Repair Tips after the storm ... hope you dont need this ☘
☘ Picking up the pieces after a hurricane ☘
☘ Storm debris Cleanup ☘
Article content from Orlando Sentinel; Collier County Gov and from our personal experiences. In 2017 we had Hurricane Irma come through southwest Florida; Barry & Kim encountered a large amount of damage at the time as the eye passed over us, it was the worst recorded hurricane in history, at the time, then Michael hit the FL Panhandle, where building codes were not as strengent and where we witnessed more damage than we had in SWFL. Now we have Hurricane Dorian coming towards Floridas East Coast probably as a catagory 4; not sure what affect it will have on SW FL; but the Florida East Coast and the Carolinas, etc, will need to be prepared.
Also; please check out the other blogs, and tabs to many other Links, Updates, Reports & Stats that we have here on our informational website. ☘
We hope that you find the information useful. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact Barry or Kim with the Hoey Team ☘ brokered by eXp Realty
Email us at Barry@SWFLLuxury.Com or KimZuponcic@Gmail.com or Call/Text the Hoey Team ☘ at: (239)-360-5527
“Please Share this and our informational website with anyone who you think the info will help.
Feel free to refer any family or friends; it is the greatest compliment that you can give to us; we really appreciate referrals from Past Customers, Friends and Fellow REALTORS, who we help in any way we can.
Most of our business is referrals by word of mouth; from past Sellers and Buyers who we have helped; please ask for and check out our testimonials and Sales Stats. Thanks, Barry & Kim ☘”